STEM: ANO si pohoršilo, ale zůstává suverénní, SPD zastavila propad. Do Sněmovny by dojeli i Motoristé

Podle nejnovějšího volebního modelu agentury STEM pro CNN Prima NEWS by se v říjnových volbách do Poslanecké sněmovny stalo vítězem hnutí ANO, které nyní dosahuje podpory 31,2 %. Druhé opoziční hnutí SPD zastavilo propad, slavit skok do dolní komory mohou nově i Motoristé sobě.

Oproti předchozímu měření sice ANO oslabilo o jeden a půl procentního bodu, dlouhodobě se ale drží nad hranicí 30 %. Na druhém místě zůstává koalice SPOLU (ODS, KDU-ČSL a TOP 09) s výsledkem 20,9 %. Třetí příčku obsadila SPD, které po letním poklesu opět posílilo a aktuálně by získalo 12,8 %. Nadále tak zůstává hlavním představitelem protestních hlasů, jak uvádějí analytici STEM.

Starostové by nyní dosáhli na 10,1 %, což je méně než v minulém modelu a potvrzuje se tak jejich ústup z někdejších dvanácti procent. Piráti se pohybují na 8,9 %, což je pro ně druhý nejlepší letošní výsledek, i když na srpnové maximum lehce nedosáhli. Tradičně čerpají podporu zejména od mladších voličů, kterým jsou v poslední době bližší než Starostové.

Do Sněmovny by se dostalo i hnutí STAČILO! (6,5 %), které tvoří KSČM, SOCDEM, Česká strana národně sociální, Spojení demokraté – sdružení nezávislých (SD-SN), Moravané, Komunistická strana Československa a nezávislé osobnosti. Přestože mírně ztratilo, jeho pozice nad pětiprocentní hranicí zůstává stabilní.

Nově by se mezi poslance podívali i Motoristé sobě, kteří po delší době překročili pětiprocentní hranici a s 5,1 % by získali mandáty. »Jejich podpora se ale výrazně odvíjí od působení europoslance Filipa Turka a je náchylnější k výkyvům,« uvádí STEM. Naopak Přísaha, která si polepšila na 3,4 %, by do dolní komory stále nepronikla.

V přepočtu na křesla by ANO obsadilo 69 mandátů. Koalice SPOLU by měla 46 poslanců, SPD 27, STAN 20, Piráti 19, STAČILO! 12 a Motoristé sobě 7.

Průzkum probíhal ve třech etapách mezi 7. a 26. srpnem a zapojilo se do něj více než 1 500 respondentů z celé České republiky. Samotné volby do Sněmovny se uskuteční 3. a 4. října.

(pk)

GRAFIKA – CNN Prima NEWS, ZDROJ – STEM

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